Race Day
May 2, 2026
The Post Parade
LiveCoverage

152nd Kentucky Derby (G1)

Race
R12 Post Parade · D:H:M:S07:23:20:34
Post Time Countdown
7d 23:20:34
May 2, 2026 · 6:57 PM EDT
Track: Churchill Downs
Surface:Sloppy(Sealed)
Sim:Sync…
Weather: 62.5°F / Drizzle
Projected Winner · Sim#14 GOLDEN TEMPO
Meltdown
Updated 11:36:25 PM
Pre-draw · 11:36:25 PM
Post Parade Value PickLong Shot Spotlight
#12 · Christopher Elliott / Kenny McPeek

RIGHT TO PARTY

Projected Odds
30-1
Apex Logic · The Closer's Advantage

Traditional McPeek closer. His Wood Memorial speed figure of 81 is lower than the favorites, but his 10f stamina index is elite. In a 78% pace collapse, he will be the one picking up the pieces on the far outside.

Stamina
96
Speed Fig
81
Overlay
+18%
View Full Past Performances

The Field

20 runners · click a row to expand PPs

Apex Match Grid
Live Sync · Field Updated
STARK CONTRAST scratched
INTREPIDO promoted from AE → PP 21
HorseProfileMarket Heat
01
COMMANDMENT
Hot
Luis Saez · ML 9-2 · LIVE 7-2
Brad Cox · Track Specialist · 24% @ CD
T50%|J·KD78
Stalker
44
946.6%
02
FURTHER ADO
Hot
John Velazquez · ML 11-2 · LIVE 5-1
Brad Cox · Track Specialist · 24% @ CD
T50%|J·KD92
Stalker
18
896.0%
03
RENEGADE
Irad Ortiz Jr · ML 6-1 · LIVE 9-2
Todd Pletcher · Track Specialist · 22% @ CD
T33%|J·KD35
Mid-Pack
50
855.3%
05
FULLEFFORT
HotSmart $SteamingDeep Closer
Tyler Gaffalione · ML 10-1 · LIVE 5-1
Brad Cox · Track Specialist · 24% @ CD
T50%|J·KD64
Closer
100
786.6%
08
EMERGING MARKET
HotSmart $SteamingDeep Closer
Flavien Prat · ML 14-1 · LIVE 7-1
Chad Brown · Track Specialist · 21% @ CD
T40%|J·KD81
Closer
100
766.8%
06
THE PUMA
Steaming
Javier Castellano · ML 12-1 · LIVE 8-1
T0%|J·KD74
Stalker
67
746.2%
04
SO HAPPY
Mike Smith · ML 12-1 · LIVE 15-1
T0%|J·KD88
Pace · RZ
0
713.6%
07
SILENT TACTIC
Deep Closer
Cristian Torres · ML 15-1 · LIVE 20-1
T25%|J·KD42
Closer
0
706.3%
09
ALBUS
Manuel Franco · ML 18-1 · LIVE 20-1
T0%|J·KD35
Stalker
0
695.2%
16
CHIEF WALLABEE
Junior Alvarado · ML 15-1 · LIVE 18-1
T0%|J·KD58
Pace · RZ
0
683.9%
10
POTENTE
Juan Hernandez · ML 18-1 · LIVE 22-1
Bob Baffert · Track Specialist · 28% @ CD
T33%|J·KD60
Pace · RZ
0
653.7%
14
GOLDEN TEMPO
Smart $SteamingDeep Closer
Jose Ortiz · ML 22-1 · LIVE 11-1
T0%|J·KD76
Closer
100
647.6%
11
PAVLOVIAN
Edwin Maldonado · ML 25-1 · LIVE 30-1
T0%|J·KD38
Mid-Pack
0
625.4%
12
RIGHT TO PARTY
HotSmart $SteamingDeep Closer
Christopher Elliott · ML 30-1 · LIVE 14-1
T50%|J·KD35
Closer
100
606.7%
13
INCREDIBOLT
Jaime Torres · ML 30-1 · LIVE 40-1
T0%|J·KD40
Pace · RZ
0
583.5%
17
CHIP HONCHO
TBA · ML 40-1 · LIVE 50-1
T0%|J·KD35
Pace · RZ
0
503.3%
18
DANON BOURBON
Akira Nishimura · ML 30-1 · LIVE 30-1
T0%|J·KD35
Stalker
0
483.9%
19
WONDER DEAN
Ryusei Sakai · ML 40-1 · LIVE 50-1
T0%|J·KD35
Mid-Pack
0
442.9%
20
SIX SPEED
TBA · ML 50-1 · LIVE 60-1
T0%|J·KD35
Pace · RZ
0
401.2%
21
INTREPIDO
Hector Isaac Berrios · ML 30-1 · LIVE 30-1
T0%|J·KD35
Stalker
0
385.3%

Tactical Betting

Auto-Generated · Live Probs
$2 Trifecta KEY$12.00
KEY · #14 GOLDEN TEMPO
WITH #8 EMERGING MARKET / #12 RIGHT TO PARTY / #1 COMMANDMENT
$1 Superfecta KEY$60.00
KEY · #14 GOLDEN TEMPO
WITH #8,#12,#1,#5,#7 (top-5 Apex backers)

Tickets rebuild automatically as the surface toggle re-weights win probabilities. Paste straight into your wagering app.

The Momentum Matrix

Predictive Class × Market Heat · live

AI War Room Briefing

Numbers come from the deterministic seven-factor model (speed · class · distance · surface · pace · connections · market). The AI only writes the narrative — it cannot invent figures.

Tap Generate Briefing to have the analyst review the current model output and PPs.

The War Room
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