Travers Stakes Winner: Leading Change
The Track Record
Performance tracked across analyzed races.
Monthly Performance
Projected winner rate month over month across analyzed cards.
Monthly Win-Rate Trend · Last 6 Months
58.33% SeptemberIroquois S. Grade III · 2yo
Churchill Downs · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · Race 10
Top Projected Runners
- 760.0%
SALAHUDIN
Florent Geroux · Bob Baffert
- 216.6%
BLESSED FLYER
Brian J Hernandez Jr · Michael A Tomlinson
- 99.1%
REAL GONE
Keith J Asmussen · Patrick L Biancone
Win probabilities from simulated runnings of this field. Informational only.
How It Works
A repeatable analytical sequence applied to every card we cover.
- 01
Analyze
Structured race and contender data is evaluated across the full program.
- 02
Model
Race dynamics and performance factors are processed into a probability view.
- 03
Compare
Contenders are evaluated against the field and the market context.
- 04
Track
Outcomes are recorded for historical performance analysis.
Cards on the Board
Complete programs parsed and analyzed — feature races, full fields and past performances.
Churchill Downs
CDSaturday, September 12, 2026
Iroquois S. Grade III · 2yo
11 races · 111 runners
Saratoga
SARSaturday, September 5, 2026
Spinaway S. Grade I · 2yo Fillies
12 races · 116 runners
Saratoga
SARSaturday, August 29, 2026
DraftKings Travers S. Grade I · 3yo
14 races · 129 runners
What Goes Into a Race Read
A high-level view of the inputs behind every analysis.
Race Dynamics
How the shape of a race is likely to unfold.
Pace Analysis
Projected early pressure and its effect on the stretch run.
Form
Recent running lines read in the context of class and trip.
Track Conditions
Surface, going and weather at the host track.
Market Context
Morning line and live market compared to modeled probability.
Field Changes
Scratches and rider changes re-processed as they happen.
Probability Modeling
Repeated simulated runnings of the field.
Historical Performance
Outcomes recorded and reviewed over time.
About The Post Parade
A racing analytics platform built on structured program data, projected race dynamics and recorded outcomes.
Every card we cover is parsed runner by runner — post positions, connections, running lines and market context — then evaluated against the field. Results are recorded so the performance record stays transparent rather than anecdotal.
More About UsChampionship Results
Triple Crown and graded stakes outcomes across the 2026 campaign.
Read the race before the gates open
Full fields, past performances, live odds and probability-based analysis for every race.
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